The virus, oil prices are falling in the Sino-US tensions, the dollar is also down
The dollar is depreciating amid
concerns over the internal economic crisis in the United States and the
deterioration of the country's relations with China.
This is the first time since September
2016 that the US dollar index, DXY, has fallen to its lowest level. World oil
prices rose slightly against the weaker dollar at the start of the day on
Monday but then fell again by 2 percent.
At 10 a.m. Monday (EDT), West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 0.75 percent to 40.96. Brent crude LCOC1, on the
other hand, fell 0.92 percent to 42.95 a barrel.
With the onset of the second phase of
Kovid-19 infection in many countries around the world, health protection rules
such as wearing masks and maintaining social distance are being imposed and
travel restrictions are being imposed. As a result, commercial aviation is
declining again, and demand for oil is declining.
On the other hand, long-standing
Sino-US disputes over trade wars, control of the South China Sea, the
coronavirus epidemic, and the imposition of Chinese security laws in Hong Kong
have culminated in the closure of the Consulate.
Investors are worried about the
deteriorating relations between the two countries, the world's most powerful
economies. They are now leaning towards safe investments like gold or bonds
without taking risks. This is having a negative impact on oil prices.
Tensions with China and the
coronavirus epidemic have hit the U.S. economy hard. The United States has long
overtaken all other countries in terms of virus infections and deaths. There
are no signs of infection reduction so far.
The coronavirus epidemic has hit the
world economy, not just the United States. Although some European countries are
trying to recover from the crisis, there is growing concern that the virus is
spreading again. New rules and regulations are being imposed. Which is
definitely having a negative impact on the economy.
The United Kingdom recently dropped
the country from its safe travel list as viral infections continue to rise in
Spain. In addition, instructions have been issued to make quarantine compulsory
for 14 days after traveling to Spain and returning to the United Kingdom. The
UK government has also advised not to travel to Spain for the time being unless
absolutely necessary.
The infection situation in Asian
countries is also becoming more and more fragile. The spread of the virus has
accelerated to the point where many countries have relaxed lockdowns to save
the economy, and new lockdowns are being announced. As a result, the demand for
oil is decreasing.
The US government has taken several
initiatives to increase oil prices in the world market, including increasing
the money supply in the market. But success is not catching up. However, if
inflation is normal, oil prices will also go up.
According to analysts at investment
banking company Raymond James, "a large influx of government money into
the market has a positive effect on oil prices."
It has been seen in the past that when
inflation occurs, the price of oil also goes up. The amount of government money
that has entered the market this time is unprecedented, they say.
But some of the world's largest oil
exporters, including Russia, have not been able to raise oil prices in the
world market despite significantly reducing their oil production.
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